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2024-12-14 08:05:26

Analysts commented on the ECB's interest rate cut, and Christiansen, an analyst at Danske Bank, said that the restrictive hawkish tendency in the ECB's policy has been eliminated. However, there is no indication that the bank may cut interest rates sharply, and there is no indication that the terminal interest rate will fall. Carsten Brzeski, head of international macro business in the Netherlands, said that the European Central Bank decided to play it safe today and cut interest rates by 25 basis points. No more mention of "restrictive" monetary policy, which means there will be more interest rate cuts in the future. Analyst Randow said that the change in the wording of the European Central Bank indicates that the ECB Committee has discussed the neutral interest rate. Otherwise, how can they decide what is restrictive and what is lenient? I am curious about what Lagarde will say next. Vassilis, a foreign exchange strategist, said that the euro fell to a new low because the European Central Bank gave up the "restrictive policy" part of the statement, but this does not mean that the policy language is completely dovish. Bonds in the euro zone are in a moderate trend.Ukraine National Natural Gas Transportation Company: On December 13th, the designated amount of Russian natural gas in Suza Transfer Station was 42.29 million cubic meters, while on December 12th, it was 42.38 million cubic meters.Spot gold hit $2,700 per ounce, down 0.65% in the day. COMEX gold futures fell more than 1.00% in the day and are now quoted at $2,729.00 per ounce.


European Central Bank President Lagarde: Potential inflation and inflation continue to return to the target in the same direction.The annual PPI of the United States in November was 3%, and it was expected to be 2.6%. The previous value was revised from 2.40% to 2.6%. The monthly PPI rate of the United States in November was 0.4%, and it was expected to be 0.2%. The previous value was revised from 0.20% to 0.3%. The monthly rate of core PPI in the United States in November was 0.2%, which was expected to be 0.2%, and the previous value was revised from 0.00% to 0.30%. The annual core PPI of the United States in November was 3.4%, expected to be 3.2%, and the previous value was 3.10%.Guangxi Securities Regulatory Bureau issued a warning letter to Xinxunda and relevant responsible persons. According to the website of the CSRC, Guangxi Securities Regulatory Bureau issued a decision on taking measures to issue a warning letter to Guangxi Xinxunda Technology Group Co., Ltd. and relevant responsible persons. Among them, it is mentioned that Xinxunda has some problems, such as the occupation of non-operating funds of related parties and the failure to disclose them in time, the failure to review and disclose the external financial assistance in time, and the irregular management of insider registration. The Guangxi Securities Regulatory Bureau decided to issue warning letters to Xinxunda, Wu Chenghua, Wang Fabin, Yan Ming, Chen Gong, Li Yangang and Ye Yanzhen.


World Meteorological Organization: The possibility of La Nina in the next three months is more than 50%. The latest forecast released by the World Meteorological Organization on the 11th shows that the possibility of La Nina in the next three months is more than 50%. It is expected that the intensity of La Nina will be weak and the duration will be short. According to the introduction of the World Meteorological Organization, the current El Niñ o/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) index is in a neutral state, which is neither El Niñ o nor La Nina. According to the forecast, from December 2024 to February 2025, the possibility of changing from the current neutral state to La Nina phenomenon is 55%. The forecast also shows that from February to April 2025, the possibility of returning to neutral state is 55%. (Xinhua News Agency)Institution: The European Central Bank may further cut interest rates by 100 basis points in 2025. Des Lawrence, an analyst at State Street Global Investment Management, said that after the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points, it may cut interest rates by another 100 basis points in 2025. The senior investment strategist said in a report that the European Central Bank can and should cut interest rates further in the coming quarters. Lawrence said that the recent PMI data shows that the economic slowdown is expanding beyond the troubled manufacturing industry, and the service industry is also under pressure.Christiansen, an analyst at Danske Bank: The restrictive hawkish tendency in ECB policy has been eliminated. However, there is no indication that the bank may cut interest rates sharply, and there is no indication that the terminal interest rate will fall. Carsten Brzeski, head of international macro business in the Netherlands: The European Central Bank decided to act safely today and cut interest rates by 25 basis points. No more mention of "restrictive" monetary policy, which means there will be more interest rate cuts in the future.

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